Poker Hand of the Week: 5/15/15You Decide What's The Best Play |
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Give us your opinion in the comments section below for your chance at winning a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.
Ask any group of poker players how you played your hand and they’ll come up with dozens of different opinions. That’s just the nature of the game.
Each week, Card Player will select a hand from the high-stakes, big buy-in poker world, break it down and show that there’s more than one way to get the job done.
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The Scenario
There are 13 players remaining in a major international tournament from an original field of 564 players. You are in the money and guaranteed a payday of €66,500 from your €10,000 buy-in.
With 500,000 in chips, you are sitting in ninth place overall. The blinds are currently 12,000-24,000 with a 3,000 ante, giving you about 20 big blinds total.
A player with 1,050,000 to start the hand raises to 50,000 from under the gun and the actions folds all the way around to you in the big blind. You look down at J
7 and decide to defend.
The flop comes down 9
8
5, giving you a double gutted straight draw and an overcard. You check and your opponent bets 110,000. You call and the turn is the 3, adding a flush draw. You have 337,000 remaining in your stack and the pot size is 350,000.
The Questions
Do you check or bet? If betting, how much? What kinds of hands are in your opponent’s range? If checking, what is your plan if he checks behind and you don’t make your draw on the river? What if you do make your draw on the river? What if you check and your opponent puts you all in? Are you getting the right price to call off your stack?
What Actually Happened
At the 2015 EPT Grand Final in Monte Carlo, Romain Paon checked his J7 on a board reading 9853. His opponent, Koichi Nozaki moved all in and Paon snap called with his combo draw.
Nozaki showed K
K, giving Paon 15 outs to double up. According to the Card Player Poker Odds Calculator, Paon had a 34 percent chance of winning.
The river was the 7, however, and Paon was eliminated in 13th place, earning €66,500. Nozaki was eliminated later in eighth place, banking €120,700. The eventual winner was Adrian Mateos, a 20-year-old Spaniard who picked up €1,082,000.
What would you have done and why? Let us know in the comments section below and try not to be results oriented. The best answer will receive a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.
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