Poker Hand of the Week: 3/18/16You Decide What's The Best Play |
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Give us your opinion in the comments section below for your chance at winning a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.
Ask any group of poker players how you played your hand and they’ll come up with dozens of different opinions. That’s just the nature of the game.
Each week, Card Player will select a hand from the high-stakes, big buy-in poker world, break it down and show that there’s more than one way to get the job done.
The Scenario
You are at the final table with six players remaining in a $1,500 live tournament. You are guaranteed to win at least $29,768. You have 1,060,000 in chips with the blinds at 20,000-40,000 with a 5,000 ante, giving you 26 big blinds to work with. There are two other players sitting with 30 big blinds or less, but nobody is in any immediate danger.
The chip leader, an aggressive player with 3,460,000 in chips, raises to 90,000 from the cutoff. It folds to you in the big blind and you look down at J
10. You call, and the flop comes down Q7
6
.
Content to just give up, you check, but your opponent checks behind. The turn is the 9 giving you an open-ended straight flush draw. You bet 90,000 and your opponent suddenly raises to 225,000. You have a total of 875,000 behind your turn bet.
The Questions
Do you call, raise or fold? What are the arguments for folding, if any? If calling, what is your plan for the river if you miss? What is your plan if you hit the river? If raising, how much? Given your opponent’s flop check, what does his range consist of?
What Actually Happened
At the Card Player Poker Tour Wynn main event, Jared Hamby opted to move all in for a total of 965,000 on a board reading Q769 holding J10.
His opponent, Ed O’Connell, quickly called with Q
7, having slowplayed after flopping two pair. According to the Card Player Poker Odds Calculator, O’Connell was a 68 percent favorite to bust Hamby.
Unfortunately for him, the river was the 5 and Hamby doubled up. Hamby’s success was shortlived, however, as he ultimately finished in fourth place, earning $53,727. O’Connell went on to finish runner-up, taking home $106,366. The eventual winner was Scottish poker pro Ludovic Geilich, who banked $150,662.
What would you have done and why? Let us know in the comments section below and try not to be results oriented. The best answer will receive a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.
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