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Poker Hand Matchup: Isaac Baron vs. Hai Pan

Swords 9 7 6 2 8

Isaac Baron

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 106,477,449

T 7

61.57 %

31.62 %

22.73 %

Winner!

Hai Pan

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 18,982,776

7 6

31.17 %

61.62 %

77.27 %

Posted On: Oct 08, 2024


Outcome

Preflop, with seven players remaining and blinds of 600,000-1,200,000 with a big blind ante of 1,200,000, Isaac Baron raised to 2,400,000 from the button. Hai Pan called from the big blind. On the flop both players checked. On the turn Pan bet 2,128,500, and Baron called. On the river Pan bet 2,160,000. Baron raised to 17,187,000, and Pan folded.

Analysis

Hai Pan flopped two pair in a button-versus-blind spot off of just under 16 big blinds. Unfortunately, the river card put four to a straight on board, making for a tricky situation from out of position against the chip leader. The hand began with the aforementioned top stack Isaac Baron opening from the button with 10-7. Pan defended with 7-6 suited and made sevens up. Pan opted to check, likely hoping for a continuation bet from Baron, who had nearly 89 big blinds to work with when the hand began. Baron opted to check behind with middle pair and his gutshot to the ten-high straight. The turn brought the blank of all blanks in the 2Diamond Suit and Pan went for a value bet of one-third pot. Baron made the call and the river brought the 8Diamond Suit, putting four cards to a straight on board. Pan was now in an extremely tricky spot with his two pair. Should he still go for value, targeting calls from one pair hands like 9-X? Can he get called by worse after a river like this? He opted to try, betting just over 20 percent pot on the end. Baron, who had indeed made a ten-high straight, raised for value on the end, betting enough to put Pan all-in. Pan likely made his blocker-type bet intending to fold to a raise, but it’s not always easy to follow through when up against a big stack like Baron, who is capable of making a move when presented with an opportunity like this. Pan ultimately folded his sevens and sixes, preserving his remaining stack, but was ultimately the next player to be eliminated despite correctly getting away from two pair. He earned $845,342 as the seventh-place finisher.

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