Bodog Releases Betting Odds on Final Nine WSOP PlayersLast Year's Final Table Should Serve as Lesson to Punters |
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Bodog has released betting odds for the final nine World Series of Poker main event players, and with a lack of any real superstar competitor among them, it’s no surprise that they directly reflect chip stacks.
According to Bodog, the chip leader of the “November Nine” with 26.4 million, Dennis Phillips, and second-place Ivan Demidov, with 23.9 million, are the favorites at 3-1 to win the $9.2 million top prize.
Scott Montgomery, with 19.3 million, is given odds of 4-1 to win. In February, he finished fifth in the World Poker Tour L.A. Poker Classic $10,000 championship event for $296,860, and the WSOP main event counts for his fourth cash at this year’s WSOP.
Peter Eastgate, who sits with the same amount of chips at Montgomery, is 11-2 to win it. The main event is Eastgate’s third major cash.
Both Ylon Schwartz and Darus Suharto also have about the same number of chips going into the final table (13 million), but Bodog is giving a nod to Schwartz, who’s getting 8-1 to win it. Suharto is getting slightly worse at 17-2. Bodog says the reason is that Schwartz is a veteran of the New York poker scene, while Suharto is an unknown. Schwartz also is a tournament poker veteran with more than 20 cashes.
The bottom three players, as far as chip stacks are concerned, are Chino Rheem (10.8 million), Craig Marquis (6 million) and Kelly Kim (2.9 million), and their odds of winning in Bodog’s mind reflects the stiff challenge they face on Nov. 9.
With a 40,000 chip ante and blinds at 150,000-300,000 when they return, those three fall right into the standardized definition of short-stacked. Rheem, one of the most succesful players of the final nine, is getting 19-2. Marquis is getting 10-1, and Kim is the longest shot of them all at 25-1.
But looking at last year’s final table and how it shook out should be a lesson to those thinking about throwing a few shekels on their favorite players. The blinds and antes for the final table then were at the same level that they will be in November.
Philip Hilm was the first player eliminated last year even though he started the table as the chip leader with 22 million. Jon Kalmar finished fifth, and he started the final table with the third-most chips (20 million).
Alexander Kravchenko started the day in last place with 6.5 million and finished fourth. And Jerry Yang, the man who won it all, started with 8.4 million in chips. Less than an hour into the final table, he became chip leader by eliminating Hilm.
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