Daily Fantasy Sports Strategy And Tips

Draftpot and FantasyDraft are Card Player’s top choices for playing NBA daily fantasy sports contests. Right now, you can get a 100 percent deposit bonus of up to $300, as well as a free entry into a $2,000 contest on Draftpot. Readers are also eligible for a 100 percent deposit bonus of up to $600 on FantasyDraft. Sign up today!

Nailing your pitcher selection on a night to night basis is a huge component of being a competitive or successful MLB DFS player. For this reason, understanding what to look for when deciding between pitchers is paramount. Early in the season, you will have some pitchers who have been shockingly good and others who have been shockingly bad compared to preseason expectations. Today I’m going to be looking at a couple different pitchers who happen to be pitching Wednesday night and go over what underlying statistics I’m looking at for each to help me decide how I feel about them going forward.

Player A: 3 starts, 0-3 record, 5.87 ERA, 5 HR allowed, 23 strikeouts, 8 walks

Player B: 3 starts, 0-2 record, 6.75 ERA, 3 HR allowed, 15 strikeouts, 5 walks

At a cursory glance, using these archaic measures for pitcher performance, these two players appear to have struggled about equally. Both of them were top flight pitchers coming into the season, the aces of their respective staffs. Obviously, neither has gotten off to the start they would like or that anyone would have expected. A few questions arise here. Are they much different in the underlying stats? Which of the two seems most likely to bounce back into form, and which looks like he could struggle more than expected this year? The answers can only be found by digging a little deeper than the surface level stats.

Player A: 13.5 K/9, 4.8 BB/9, 2.93 HR/9, .436 BABIP, 2.87 xFIP

Player B: 7.79 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 1.56 HR/9, .333 BABIP, 4.20 xFIP

Now I know if you’re not a baseball stat nerd these numbers may as well be in Chinese because you may have no idea what they mean. So I’m here to explain a little. K/9 is of course strikeouts per 9 innings, with BB/9 and HR/9 then being self explanatory. BABIP is the Batting Average on Balls In Play. Between .270 and .300 is about average, depending on the pitcher. xFIP is a stat that was created to try to reflect what a pitcher’s ERA ‘should’ be while trying to negate the lucky or unlucky effects that BABIP and home run luck play.

With this new information, we can start to see that player A is probably a bit more likely to have been really unlucky and is more likely to be the pitcher we thought he’d be coming into the season. His K/9 is demolishing player B, his HR/9 and BABIP are both otherworldly high and are certain to come down a good amount. And xFIP, which is aiming to measure his true quality thus far, thinks his ERA should be under 3. So, all else equal, if I were betting on one of these two guys to be a useful pitcher in DFS or even season long fantasy anytime soon, it would be player A.

As for the big reveal… player A is Tampa Bay’s Chris Archer and player B is newly acquired Arizona staff ace Zack Greinke. By looking at these numbers and how they compare to their recent career numbers (Archer’s last 2 years BB/9 average out to about 3), Archer is the clear bet to bounce back in my opinion. Greinke will have to really get it going to get anywhere near the form he showed over the last two seasons with the Dodgers.

Draftpot is changing fantasy sports by offering the same great game, just without the salary cap. With lower rakes, more sports, large guaranteed prize pools, and the biggest deposit bonuses in the industry, the site is becoming an industry leader.

With FantasyDraft’s daily fantasy contests players draft new teams daily and have the opportunity to win cash every time they or their friends enter a paid contest. FantasyDraft also limits the number of lineups players can enter and pays a minimum of 20 percent of all guaranteed contests. It’s easy. It’s fun. It’s GAMEDAY. FantasyDraft puts #PlayersFirst.

Thanks for reading. Find me on Twitter @IanJ300 with any questions.

Card Player readers are eligible for a 100 percent deposit bonus at a number of DFS sites. Click below for more information.

Related Articles

Make Two Picks, Win Up To 500X With Boom Fantasy

DraftKings Files Lawsuit Against Former Executive

NFL Employee Stole Millions For Daily Fantasy Sports

Most Viewed Articles