Facing A Lead From A Maniacby Jonathan Little | Published: Jan 08, 2025 |
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In a recent $10,000 buy-in main event, I arrived on time at the start of the tournament to find only five other players at my table.
Everyone was seemingly playing tight, aggressive strategies except for one player who was trying to win every pot he entered, which happened to be most of them. Prior to the following hand, we only played a few pots together, with him winning a few small ones from me.
At 50-100, I raised to 300 out of my 50,000 stack with 9♣ 9♠ from the cutoff. My loose, aggressive opponent called from the small blind. The flop came K♥ 6♠ 2♦, and my opponent led into me for 500.
I was unsure what to make of his lead. While he likely has only one specific type of hand, such as a premium hand like a set, a decently strong hand like a six, or a draw like 4-3, it is impossible to know what he is actually doing, given our limited experience together. I assigned him a loose range containing any pair on the board, any gutshot straight draw, and the occasional stone bluff. Notice that this assumes he does not have two pair or better often at all, which could be an incorrect assumption.
I called because my hand is in fine shape against that range. When you are somewhat sure that your opponent is trying to push you around, you cannot be afraid to call and see what develops, even when you have a hand that could easily be crushed and has only a small chance to improve.
The turn was the 8♠. My opponent bet 1,500 into the 1,700 pot.
At this point, I was becoming more sure that he was trying to make me fold what he perceived to be a marginal made hand. While I did not have much to base my read on besides his previous play, I thought he would make a smaller bet, perhaps 1,100 or so, if he wanted me to call.
I decided to trust my read and call his turn bet. Before calling, I decided that I was not especially looking to fold if he bet on most rivers. If you pay close attention to your opponents, you will occasionally find spots where you are quite confident they are bluffing. I felt like this was one of those situations.
The river was the 4♣. My opponent bet 3,500 into the 4,700 pot.
While his river bet was not quite as large in relation to the size of the pot as his turn bet, I decided to stick with my read that he was bluffing a large amount of the time. If he made an even larger bet, I would have been even more inclined to call. If he made a small bet, perhaps 2,000 or so, I would have been much more concerned that he was trying to get me to call with most of my range, which would likely mean that he was betting for value.
I called and was pleasantly surprised to see my opponent’s cards quickly hit the muck, awarding me a sizable pot early in the tournament.
It is important to realize that early in a tournament, there is not much of a difference between a 440-big blind stack and a 560-big blind stack. Whether I won or lost this pot, my opponent would get the message that I am not someone he can mindlessly push around. Ideally, this will result in my opponent playing a somewhat straightforward strategy against me for the rest of the day.
Sure enough, in this event, my opponent stayed completely in line against me for the remainder of the day, allowing me to play my default loose, aggressive strategy. Especially when the chips you risk are not worth too much, do not be afraid to get a bit out of line if you think the result will be that your opponents allow you to make easier decisions later in the day once the blinds go up.
I created a simple flowchart that has five questions you should always ask yourself when deciding if you should call on the river with a bluff catcher. I also recorded a short video that shows you how to use this flowchart by going through two hand examples!
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Jonathan Little is a two-time WPT winner and the 2024 PokerGO Cup champion with nearly $9 million in live tournament earnings, best-selling author of 15 educational poker books, and 2019 GPI Poker Personality of the Year. If you want to increase your poker skills and learn to crush the games, check out his training site at PokerCoaching.com/CardPlayer.
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